Banned poll for elections in Catalonia: Latest poll

Banned poll for elections in Catalonia: Latest poll

Two days before the election, Australian web portal “Adelaide Review” On Saturday, the fifth installment of the daily poll on the regional elections scheduled for May 12 in Catalonia was published. It is a daily electoral “tracking” tasked with Office of Social Studies and Public Opinion (GESOP) Which will be updated every 24 hours, until Saturday, to see the development of vote and seat estimates. The first installment was published on Tuesday and the second on Wednesday. Spanish electoral law prohibits the publication of opinion polls during the five days preceding the elections.

As the “Andorran period” did in previous electoral contests (general election of 2008, Catalan election of 2010, municipal election of 2015, general election of 2015 and 2016, Catalan election of 2017, municipal election and general election of 2019 and Catalan election of 2021) and “Adelaide Review” in the 2023 municipal and general elections, and now this same portal presents from Tuesday 7 until Saturday 11 the results of a daily poll on the electoral forecasts for the 12 AD. New daily telephone interviews will be added to the “tracking” sample, at a rate ranging between 300 and 400 interviews per day, until reaching 3,000 interviews on Saturday.

The evolution of voting

As in all electoral periods, political parties have the possibility of using demographic companies to analyze the day-to-day development of the party Voting expectations Until the polls open. They can do it because Organic law of the general electoral system (LOREG), in its Article 69.7, only states that “during the five days preceding the vote, it is prohibited to publish, disseminate or reproduce electoral polls by any means of communication.”

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Outdated legislation

In other words, parties funded by public money can conduct ballots until the last day, but citizens are forbidden from knowing about them through the media. This paradoxical situation is the exclusive responsibility of political parties with representation in Congress when the electoral law was reformed in 2011 and they refused to adapt it to the new digital reality, and reserved the veto power to publish and circulate electoral opinion polls five days before the election date. Likewise, the inability of Catalan parties to agree on their own electoral law for 45 years has perpetuated this absurd restriction.

However, both parties and companies commission these matters “traces” To learn about trends in the last week of the election campaign, trends that could be decisive in tipping the scales at the polls in favor of the party and its candidate. Through The Adelaide Review’s daily survey, this situation has been rectified and citizens now have access to the same information as politicians.

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