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NBA Over/Unders

While getting ready for a new NBA season, one of my favorite things to do is look at the win total prediction for each team that sports books make and then make over/under picks on whether the team will exceed or fall or short of expectations.

As always, it’s an excruciatingly tough process, even though I’m not actually putting money down on any of these picks. In fact if I actually was putting real money down, I’m not even sure I could ever make a pick, I’d be so nervous. But as it is, this is an exercise for fun, and looking back at the end of the year and seeing how I did is always cool.

(These win totals were from the sports book Bovada. It was accessed Saturday, October 26. If lines have been updated, it was after this writing.)

Eastern Conference:

Atlanta Hawks - 39.5 wins - Over

Boston Celtics – 27.5 – Under

Brooklyn Nets – 52.5 – Over

Oct 25, 2013; New York, NY, USA; Charlotte Bobcats point guard Kemba Walker (15) controls the ball against the New York Knicks during the first quarter of a preseason game at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Charlotte Bobcats – 26.5 – Over

This pick might be surprising, but I guess I can make this my bold prediction. They won 21 games last year, so they just have to improve by 6 wins. Considering the addition of Al Jefferson, the assumed improvement of Kemba Walker, and the underrated Gerald Henderson putting in another solid season; 6 additional wins doesn’t seem impossible. Unfortunately for the Bobcats, winning more games might not be in their best interest this year.

Chicago Bulls - 56.5 – Under

Cleveland Cavaliers – 40.5 – Over

Detroit Pistons – 40.5 – Over

Indiana Pacers – 54.5 – Under

Miami Heat – 61.5 – Over

Milwaukee Bucks – 28.5 – Over

New York Knicks – 49.5 – Under

Orlando Magic – 23.5 – Over

Philadelphia 76ers – 17.5 – Under

Toronto Raptors – 35.5 – Over

This was one of the easier picks for me. The Raptors got to 34 wins last year, and that was without a full season of Rudy Gay. Now, regardless of your thoughts on Gay, he’s certainly an upgrade over Landry Fields and Mickael Pietrus, who started far too many games for the Raptors last year. Sure it isn’t a roster that’s going to get 45-50 wins, but 36 wins hits the over, and they should get there without too much trouble.

Washington Wizards – 39.5 – Over

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