he The political and institutional siege on France It seems to get more and more tangled, after that. Emmanuel Macron He did not want to name a left-wing candidate, Lucy Castetsas Prime Minister.
She confirms that the rest of the political forces announced to her that they would bring her down by withdrawing confidence the day after she assumed power. And in the name of stability… He gave up on making the decision that seemed more predictable. First of all, it makes more sense democratically.
Searching for a “non-extremist” majority
And now I declare Second round of talks with political forcesHe says the door is open to those who “think about the country’s interest” and excludes from the outset both the National Rally and Hezbollah. Marine Le Pen Like rebellious France Jean-Luc Melenchon.
However, it was the refusal to appoint Castet that led to this. Socialists and environmentalists have already given up. Also “to participate in the investigation circus.”
Macron was not wrong to expect criticism from a left-wing government. But he is also making the decision for another reason: because The New Popular Front’s program includes some red lines. For him, it is like canceling the controversial pension reform, from 62 to 64 years.
Selection of candidates for the Prime Minister
Everyone is wondering What will Macron do?. There is no law requiring him to appoint a prime minister within a certain period. This could be done with the outgoing Attal government. But that would do no more than that. The deterioration of the French political scene.
The president can Explore some technical profilesin the style that was made in Italy. Mario DraghiThe President of the Audit Bureau was talked about. Didier MigoOr the former European Commissioner Pierre Moscovici.
Casting also includes Moderate politicians who may be acceptable from the Republican left to the right.. And he talks, among other things, about Bernard Cazeneuvewho was already prime minister with François Hollande, a Social Democrat who could count on the support of the Socialist Party.
Or also some representativesThe most centrist wing of the RepublicansAs President of the Ile-de-France region, Valerie PecresseOr that of Upper France, Xavier Bertrand.
The most extreme exits from the crisis
If he does not get out of it, Macron will find himself thrown into a maze with that decision to dissolve the National Assembly after his failure in the European elections. More and more complex exits.
He cannot return the decision to the hands of the citizens through legislative elections, because One year must pass between two calls.If his resignation is expedited, leading to a replacement of the presidency, it will not solve the problem, because the composition of the council will remain the same. In any case, Macron has always ruled out this possibility..
Rebellious France predicts activationArticle 68 of the Constitutionwhich provides Presidential impeachmentHe has enough House members to pass it, but it will be difficult to get the two-thirds support of the House and Senate needed.
The President also has at his disposal a constitutional resource equivalent to the use of the highest political weapons:Article 16which states that the presidency Collect all the powers of the Prime MinisterThe wording is clear about the exceptional nature of the measure:
“When the institutions of the Republic, the independence of the nation, the integrity of its territory or the fulfilment of its international obligations are seriously or immediately threatened, and the regular functioning of the constitutional public authorities is interrupted, the President of the Republic will take the measures required by these circumstances, after formal consultation with the Prime Minister, the Presidents of the Chambers of Deputies and the Constitutional Council.”
Only in fact General De Gaulle This article was written in 1961, in the wake of the military uprising in Algeria. The current situation in the country would have to deteriorate so much that Macron would decide to bring it up and inevitably cause an unprecedented political scandal.
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