December 5, 2022

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USA: Ukrainian missile in Poland but Russia is responsible

An “unfortunate accident”, perhaps a Ukrainian anti-aircraft missile that went the wrong way, but it was certainly “not a deliberate attack against Poland” or NATO. In the aftermath of the most dangerous day since the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, with a missile landing on Polish soil that killed two civilians and risked drawing the West directly into the conflict in defense of allied lives. To calm down, narrowly avoid escalation. But it took a whole night of tension, communication, warnings and meetings, while the final day of the G-20 was held in Bali, to finally condemn Russia for the constant bombing of the infrastructure, including civilian infrastructure, in Ukraine, for its part it was forced to. It defends itself with anti-aircraft fire, but the missile that fell yesterday in the Polish village of Przyodo – a few kilometers from the Ukrainian border – is not considered a declaration of war by the Kremlin. However, there was a usual exchange of accusations between Moscow and Kiev, with the former accusing Ukraine of “classic provocation” and “dreaming of a direct confrontation between NATO and Russia to save itself,” and the latter pointing his finger to the east without hesitation: “It is a Russian missile and we have proof.”

Listen to “ANALYSIS – On the Razor’s Edge of ‘The Great Fear’ (by Stefano Polli)” on Spreaker.

After the information from the American 007s that a shot was assumed from the Ukrainian air defense path, it was Polish President Andrzej Duda himself who admitted the possibility of an “unfortunate accident”. And NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg echoed, after the extraordinary meeting of the Atlantic Council: “The investigations are ongoing, and the preliminary results say that it is a Ukrainian missile,” but “Kyiv is not responsible.” In fact, responsibility must be sought in “Vladimir Putin’s war,” against which the Allies will continue to support and arm Ukraine, as noted by the Secretary General, summarizing the position of the West, from the White House to Giorgia Meloni. Then the NATO chief emphasized that “there are no indications of a deliberate attack against the alliance.” However, the alliance has strengthened “monitoring on the eastern side, whether through ground forces or air defences”, but – as Stoltenberg specified – there would be no no-fly zone, which Kyiv had long relied on in the early weeks of the conflict before collecting supplies. The large military force needed to defend itself: such an action would cause further escalation, which the Allies want to avoid at all costs. Russia and the West agree that it is a Russian-made S-300, but Ukrainian forces have also used it. On the other hand, Volodymyr Zelensky has no doubts that “the missile was Russian,” as he declared, conveying information received from the leadership of his Armed Forces and Air Force. Irresponsible talk by the Hungarian government. But for Zelensky, “Russia wanted to send a message to the G-20 summit,” which in Bali effectively punished Moscow’s international isolation. Kyiv also demands that it be granted “immediate access” to the location of the missile fall and to the investigations, which are coordinated by the United States and Poland. US sources told CNN that Ukraine told the Biden administration that it attempted to intercept a Russian missile yesterday near the Polish border and “in the same time frame” that the Rif Przyodo was hit, but it is not clear if it was the same missile that actually hit it. Drops. After all, Ukraine was targeted yesterday by about 100 Russian raids, from the east in the middle of the war to the west far from the front: sooner or later something was bound to go wrong.

Russia insists that its targets are only “military”, that it never struck more than 35km from the border with Poland, and that the destruction of residential or civilian areas in Kyiv or elsewhere was caused by “Ukrainian and foreign” surface-to-air missiles. defense systems. However, Moscow appreciated the wisdom with which the United States commented on the immediate incident, while other countries immediately accused Russia of a certain “hysteria”. He summoned the Polish ambassador to express his disappointment: “Warsaw refrains from getting involved in the dirty provocations of the Kyiv regime,” in the warning to the diplomat. At the end of a busy day, the US Chief of Staff, Mark Milley, returned to talk about negotiations. For the general, the advent of winter would bring about a natural retreat in field battles and for this reason “could be a good window for negotiating peace”. He also warned that there was “little chance” of expelling the Russians from all of Ukraine.