Paris Olympics, Italy prediction: 46 medals (11 gold): Who will win?

Mountaineers know this well: the most reliable weather forecasts when facing a difficult summit are those made in the late evening. Compared to the mountain, the Paris Olympicswhich starts on Friday the 26th, is Mount Everest and here’s why Traditional predictions like Gracenote Sports’ virtual medal table Nielsen They go Take with a pinch of salt.: It is no coincidence that the data on Italy published month after month since July 2023 have fluctuated significantly. The June bulletin (the last one will be published next week) gives us a very honorable seventh place among countries with 46 medalssix more than Tokyo and three places higher in the country rankings. It would be an absolute record with plus 11 Ori (One more than Tokyo), 20 silver (2021 double) 15 bronze (There were 20.) The United States remains in the lead (123 medals), ahead of China (87), Great Britain (62), France (56), Australia (48) and Japan (46), which appears within reach.

But what is striking is Predictions by disciplineWe knew very well that the five gold medals in athletics would not be repeated, but why were the stolen items cancelled? Hypothesis. Because Jacobs has been coming to AC for three years and there are at least eight other athletes who are going faster, because the 4x100m is behind the USA, because our walkers are recovering from more or less serious injuries and Spain is flying. Tampere is a mystery: the statistics are against him (no one has won two Olympic gold medals in the high jump) but Gimbaud is the world champion even without considering the fantastic 2.37 last June in Rome.

Yes, but who wins medals for Italy?

Let’s see which Italian GraceNote gives away 11 gold medals. Irma Testa finished third in Tokyo but has the momentum of the featherweight world title she won last year in India while her teammate Aziz Mohiuddin is coming off a world silver medal and will not have to challenge the Russian who beat him. On the Team frustration and women’s volleyball There’s not much to say: our girls have been at the top for years, while Tommaso Marini (World Champion and Cup Champion in Chips) H Alice Volpe (Parallel Curricula) perfectly represents Gracenote standards such as backstroke athlete Thomas Ceccon, Ruggero Tita/Caterina Banti (sailing) and Vito Dell’Aquila in taekwondo, the only three athletes surveyed. olympic appearance granted With Tokyo due to the continuity of results over the three-year period.

What will be the news?

the New Login What pollsters are betting on is the big surprise (algorithms have incomprehensible aspects) of gold expected to reach Giovanni Di Gennaro In the slalom (third Olympic Games, but in the CV of the 32-year-old Brescia player there is only one world silver in 2022) and Elena Micheli In the modern pentathlon, solidly two world titles in a row. Predictions are the stuff of computers and statisticians, medal tables are the stuff of men and women with brains, muscles and hearts. For those who predict gold, silver or bronze, hope to confirm the table, for everyone else, hope to deny it.