war in ukraine It is shaping the world of the 21st century, beginning a great new transformation in which technology is the most powerful driving force. The economic war and the geopolitical consequences of the raw materials super-cycle have withstood, and captured the attention of analysts, but the balance of power that the ongoing war is reshaping is determined by technological superiority.
The failure of the blitzkrieg planned by the Russians is explained by the difficulties faced by the army of the twentieth century called to fight the wars of the future. The same Makarov/Gerasimov doctrine – with which the Russian military prepared to fight new unconventional conflicts – appears to have been the result of ambitions rather than real operational capabilities, and thus the strategic projection of Russia’s military-industrial complex, which is the basis of Putin’s power. The shortcomings of Russian logistics, which are the result of a doctrine that has increasingly become the daughter of a strategic vision Closest to Clausewitz – subject to goals decided by policy – which revealed an unimaginable and sometimes embarrassing level of unpreparedness for Jomini and the operational dimension of the war. Structural deficiencies that the Ukrainian army was able to use to its advantage, by resorting to Western technological and information support. The Russian Air Force has never been able to guarantee air superiority and the army has paid heavy duty to the Ukrainian ambushes, which, thanks to the anti-tank weapon systems provided by the Westerners, had no problems in improving the tanks. enemies.
Having to rely on the outdated and inaccurate Glonas—the alternative navigation system to the Global Positioning System (GPS), which the Americans immediately denied access to—the Russians were never able to carry out their attacks efficiently. Moreover, the lack of an advanced communications system forced the Russian military to rely on the Ukrainian network, and it ended up being systematically intercepted by the Western information system, which provided the Ukrainians with all the data necessary to neutralize the opponent’s threats. The very large number of dead Russian generals indicates that the Ukrainians know for sure the place and method of striking, which is certain due to the fact that the generals, in order to overcome the difficulties of communication, had to get dangerously close to the front.
The threat of cyber attacks also appeared to be greatly exaggerated. President Zelensky was able to communicate without problems with his people, and was able to interfere in the parliaments of major Western countries electronically without any interference, while the ease with which Anonymous could access sensitive data made the importance of Russian communications infrastructures clear. ..
In the end, the war in Ukraine revealed the technological backwardness of Russia and revealed the forms of future war in which the cyber and space spheres play a decisive role.
In this competition for technological supremacy, a new theme has been added that represents perhaps the greatest novelty that the ongoing war has brought. Elon Musk and Starlink ensured the continuity of communications for the Ukrainians, which cover a significant part of the national territory. Moreover, it is assumed that the network of low-orbit satellites managed to neutralize the activity of jamming Communication disturbance – carried out by the Russians. The relationship between Musk and the US government – which the American businessman is bound by top secret agreements – re-proposes in a new form the indefinite relationship between individuals and subjects of the state that marked the embryonic stages of modern capitalism, bringing to life the commercial corporations of the sixteenth century that led colonial wars in unexplored territories in favor of the powers that be. Great European. A stage of technological challenge in which public-private relations are organic and subtle, but which seem to ensure America’s technological superiority for the next twenty years.
In this regard, it is believed that the United States preferred not to fully deploy its capabilities so that the Russians would not fall to their knees once and for all, for various considerations regarding the duration of the war and for the awareness that Putin, if trapped. , can take irreversible actions.
Ultimately, American technological superiority for a long time will ensure control over the most strategically important dimensions of power competition. Technological dominance based on a very close relationship – innovative and traditional – between monopolies hi tech A country that is currently unparalleled.
The stability of the future world will depend on the ability of Americans to translate their technological hegemony into a hegemony capable of ensuring some form of equilibrium within the system of interstate relations, but that they will exercise simply to ensure the subordination of states. Reducing the systemic challenge that China faces could result in the undesirable effect of balkanization of the Internet, in which the Russians and Chinese decide to permanently cut off the Internet, implementing alternative remote networks through which information and cultural models can travel.
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