(Paris) President Emmanuel Macron’s parties’ poor performance in Sunday’s regional elections in France and the far-right Marine Le Pen are questioning the circumstances under which they clashed in the second round of the 2022 presidential election. But any boycott is dangerous with too much voting.
After the 2017 presidential election, when Emmanuel Macron came to power, observers and polls believe that a re-edition in 2022 is possible, as the historic parties seem to be entangled, with the right and left passing through the center and the Marine Le Pen falling in the second round. Whose contradictions and struggles.
But the first round of regional and sectoral elections on Sunday outlined a different panorama.
“Reversing the process of right-left divisions”, analyzed the right-wing newspaper Le Figaro, The day after this vote marked the good performance of the traditional right (Republicans) and the left (Socialist Party), who benefited the elected officials who completely withdrew from the bonus.
“Like the municipal elections (2020), it shows that the old world still exists,” notes political scientist Bruno Coutrus. On the right and left, we hope this performance makes sense for 2022.
Xavier Bertrand, a Republican candidate in the Hots-de-France (North) who is already a candidate for the presidency, hailed him as “breaking the jaws” of the national rally.Me Le Pen.
“For the first time in four years we are said to be condemning the second round of fighting between Mr. Macron and Mr.Me Le Pen, […] The result is the opposite, ”said Socialist leader Oliver Farr on Sunday evening.
“Everything can happen”
“Don’t make hasty decisions in the presidential election,” Interior Minister Gerald Durman warned Monday in France 2. “With 70% of the vote, anything can happen in the second round” next Sunday.
In fact, the main determination of this first ballot is the incomprehensible indifference of about 48 million voters, as evidenced by the historic turnout of nearly 70%.
“I do not want to be in a state of ecstasy that is premature and irrelevant in the midst of a democratic crisis,” he said. For said Monday morning.
As a result of such a vote, it is “not clear” what the result is in the country. This is a very legitimate part of the French electorate, mostly the older electorate, ”said Justice Stephen Jumsteek, an Ipsos election expert.
“Some people are talking about a warming up ten months before the presidential election. We have woken up with the idea that the machine of our democracy is running empty,” the Catholic newspaper said. The cross In his editorial “People of the Voters”.
“These are elections marked by the end of the epidemic. It is difficult for the French to understand the specific issues of this election, and for them, the real meeting is not this Sunday, it is one of the presidents in eleven months,” said Bryce Dendouier, a political scientist on the radio in France Inter.
However, in terms of qualifications, there is salt in addition to Emmanuel Macron’s Presidential Party, La Repubblica en Marche (LREM) and Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN), two organizations without castles.
The LREM, a young party that allowed Emmanuel Macron to come to power in 2017, was targeted at 15% of the vote, but received about 10 or 11% of the vote and candidate ministers generally failed.
“Of course we have disappointments,” party boss Stanislas Gurini admitted in the RDL.
Despite this, both candidates are determined that “nothing says that 2022 (Emmanuel Macron) will not perform better. It is necessary to distinguish between by-elections and a national referendum,” said Crystal Logier, mistress of the Conference on Political Science at Avignon University (South).
Jordan Bardella (RN) lamented on PFM-TV on Monday morning that “our voters did not come”, accusing the country’s next leaders of being “politically disgusted”. RN, which announced a leading poll in several regions, lost nine points compared to 2015.
“It simply came to our notice then […] This is a defeat for Marine Le Pen, and it will have consequences in his 2022 campaign, and in this case, I do not think these two ballots should be combined. They have completely different dynamics, ”said Priestel, AFP’s Antoine of the Jean-Jaros Foundation.